On Friday 16 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 9.5 Total Corners, priced at +100 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the corner count could very well eclipse the 9.5 line. Forest, despite struggling recently at home with just one win in their last five, has averaged a hefty 16 total shots per game, demonstrating their intent to attack and earn corners. On the flip side, Arsenal has been in fine form, winning four of their last five and averaging over 12 shots away, which typically generates corner opportunities. Both teams have a history of creating corner chances against each other; in their past five encounters, Arsenal has consistently outperformed Forest. With Forest needing to push for points and Arsenal looking to assert dominance, it’s reasonable to expect a flurry of corner kicks, making the 'Over 9.5' bet a tempting play in this clash.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Nottingham Forest +0.75 Goal Handicap (+100)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, their recent form might seem troubling, but don’t be too quick to count them out. While they've stumbled at home with just one win in five, their defensive grit has held opponents to an average of only 1 goal per game. Arsenal, despite their impressive away record, often struggles against teams that can absorb pressure—something Forest has been adept at. Moreover, Forest has shown a propensity to create chances, averaging nearly 19 shots in their last five outings. If they can convert even a fraction of those into goals, they stand a good chance of covering that 0.75 handicap. With Arsenal's attack not as potent as it’s been in the past, this match could very well be tighter than anticipated. Bet on Nottingham Forest to surprise and keep it close—you might just find value in their resilience.
That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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