New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks (Breanna Stewart Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Atlanta Dream are visiting the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, and this matchup is really close. Both teams have been playing well recently, with Atlanta winning 8 of their last 10 and New York winning 7 of their last 10. However, Atlanta's recent schedule has been a bit easier compared to New York's tougher opponents. The slight travel difference could play a role too, as Atlanta has had to travel more. This game feels like a toss-up, so taking Atlanta with the points makes sense, but remember, it could go either way. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 186.5 Total Points (-256)

The New York Liberty are on a solid run, winning 7 of their last 10 games, while the Atlanta Dream have also been strong, taking 8 of their last 10. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents recently, which could mean they struggle to score big. With both teams holding back-to-back wins and combined recent scoring trends, I like the bet on under 186.5 total points. The biggest risk is that both teams are in good form, but considering how tough the Liberty's schedule has been, I think they might not hit those high numbers today. It was priced at -256 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

For Breanna Stewart to go under 27.5 points and rebounds tonight, she needs to have a quieter game than usual. New York Liberty is facing off against the Atlanta Dream, both teams in great form but with tougher competition for Stewart. The Liberty have played against some strong opponents recently, which could make scoring and rebounding a bit trickier for her. Even though Stewart is a superstar, her recent numbers show she might not hit that total. Atlanta has also faced tougher teams lately, so both defenses could be tighter. With both teams winning a lot, this game might come down to strategy rather than individual stats. It's definitely possible Stewart won't reach that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)

New York Liberty's Jonquel Jones has been strong lately, but facing the Atlanta Dream means she'll have tough competition. Both teams are on a hot streak, with Atlanta winning 8 of their last 10 games. That makes it tricky for Jones, who might struggle to rack up points and rebounds against a solid defense. The bet here is to take Jonquel Jones to score under 22.5 combined points and rebounds. Our numbers give this a good chance of hitting. The most concrete risk is that both teams have been playing well, so the game could be closer than expected, making it harder for Jones to shine. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Naz Hillmon Over 12.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)

Naz Hillmon has been on a roll lately, and in this game against the New York Liberty, she has a solid chance to shine. The Liberty have been playing tough teams, winning seven of their last ten games, which shows they know how to compete. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream have also been doing well, winning eight of their last ten. This matchup is going to be close since both teams are in great form, but Hillmon has room to rack up points and rebounds as she faces a challenging yet beatable defense. One concrete risk is that both teams have faced tough opponents recently, making this a real test for both players and teams. Still, with Hillmon's recent performances and the stakes of the game, betting on her to get over 12.5 points and rebounds feels like a good shot. It's a tight call, but she could come through when it matters most. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.