Here are the 6 college football player props our model likes most for October 17, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Saturday 17 October 2026,
LSU Tigers host
Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Sam Leavitt Under 2.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Sam Leavitt finishes with fewer than 2.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Air Force Falcons host
UNLV Rebels in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Jackson Arnold Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Jackson Arnold finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026, Air Force Falcons host UNLV Rebels in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jackson Arnold Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Jackson Arnold finishes with more than 0.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Michigan State Spartans host
Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Alessio Milivojevic Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Alessio Milivojevic finishes with more than 0.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Texas Longhorns host
Florida Gators in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Aaron Philo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Aaron Philo finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Michigan Wolverines host
Penn State Nittany Lions in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Bryce Underwood Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Bryce Underwood finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.61 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.