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Model picks & player props
Boston Celtics
VS
Orlando Magic

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 4:45PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
8
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Boston Celtics 3.5 (Point Spread)
For Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic (NBA), model win probability 75.0%, fair odds 1.33, book price -110, model edge +22.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Boston Celtics
3.5
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Boston CelticsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston CelticsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day

Orlando Magic

  • Colin Castleton CDay-to-day
  • Noah Penda FDay-to-day
  • Alex Morales GDay-to-day
  • Jase Richardson GDay-to-day
  • Izaiyah Nelson FDay-to-day
  • Jonathan Isaac FDay-to-day
  • Franz Wagner FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ Orlando MagicNo line posted

Orlando Magic and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOrlando Magic spreadNo line posted

Orlando Magic (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOrlando Magic to winNo line posted

Orlando Magic (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Orlando Magic totalNo line posted

Orlando Magic averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Orlando Magic; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics : Under 250.5 Total Points (-1429)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 250.5' bet is a strong choice considering the recent scoring trends for both teams. The Orlando Magic's last five home games averaged a total score of 113 points, while the Boston Celtics averaged 120.2 points in their last five away games. This totals 233.2 points, which is far below the target of 250.5 points. Additionally, the average total points from each team's last five games, including both home and away, is 218 points, again falling far short of the 250.5 point target. The model prediction also forecasts a total of 218.69 points, which reinforces the likelihood of a lower scoring game. Therefore, the statistical data suggests that the total points scored in the game will likely be under 250.5.

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics : Boston Celtics 3.5 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Boston Celtics 3.5' for the Point Spread market in the Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics game is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, the Celtics have a stronger recent performance record, with a 4-1 win-loss ratio in their last 5 games compared to the Magic's 1-4. This is indicative of their superior form. Additionally, the Celtics have scored an average of 112.2 points in their last 5 games, which is 6.4 points more than the Magic's average of 105.8, suggesting a higher scoring potential. Despite the Magic's home advantage, their record of 3-2 and average score of 113 points in their last 5 home games are overshadowed by the Celtics' 120.2 average score in their last 5 away games. This suggests the Celtics are well-equipped to overcome the point spread.

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics : Boston Celtics win (+134)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the Boston Celtics to win the Moneyline market against Orlando Magic is statistically rational. The Celtics have recently been in better form, with an away record of 4-1 in their last five games, compared to the Magic's home record of 1-4. Moreover, the Celtics have demonstrated a stronger scoring ability, averaging 112.2 points in their last five games overall and 120.2 points in their last five away games, both higher than the Magic's respective scores. Despite the Magic having a better recent record against the Celtics, current form and scoring power suggest the Celtics are more likely to win this encounter. The data, therefore, supports the model prediction of a Celtics victory.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic in the NBA. The model has generated 8 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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