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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Outman is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 75%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 2:15PM UTC
MLB

James Outman

MIN

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
+2.6% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 8:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 619 of 1,194 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
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For the numbers: model probability 77.2% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases77.2%74.6%1.30+2.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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James Outman (MIN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels prepare to face the Tigers, James Outman’s total bases line stands out, especially when considering his recent performance. Over the past week, Outman has struggled at the plate, managing just a handful of hits against right-handed pitchers. With Detroit sending out a solid arm today, he’ll likely face a considerable challenge. The Tigers’ pitching staff has been trending upward, boasting a stingy WHIP and limiting opponents to under four runs per game in recent outings. Outman’s tendency to swing and miss—coupled with the pressure of a crucial matchup—paints a clear picture. Given the odds favoring the 'Under' on his total bases, it’s hard to see him breaking through against a formidable pitcher today. Expect him to have a tough time finding gaps, making the 'Under 1.5' a wise play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

James Outman has gone over 1.5 total bases in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.533%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -294 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits Pending

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About This Player

James Outman (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Outman is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 19 July at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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