On Sunday 27 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 173.5 Total Points, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 173.5 Total Points (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx are playing at home against the New York Liberty, and both teams have been doing well lately. Minnesota has won 7 of their last 10 games and is scoring a solid 91.3 points per game. However, New York has faced a tough schedule, making their recent success more impressive, but they might struggle to keep pace with the Lynx in this matchup. Our numbers suggest that the total points for this game could be lower than expected, around 163.4. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are good at playing defense, which often leads to fewer points. So, while there's a good chance for the under at 173.5, it's important to keep in mind that it could easily go the other way too. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Liberty +7.5 on the Line (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx are scoring a lot lately, averaging over 91 points a game, but they've only won three of their last six games. On the other hand, the New York Liberty have been strong too, winning four of their last six. Plus, they've faced some of the toughest teams in the league, which shows they can handle pressure well. Betting on New York Liberty to win with a 7.5-point cushion feels like a solid choice. The Lynx might be at home, but our numbers suggest they're only expected to win by about three points. The biggest risk here is how close these teams are performing, so it could be a nail-biter. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 10.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

You can bet on Napheesa Collier to have under 10.5 rebounds and assists against the New York Liberty at odds of -110. Collier has been solid lately, but she tends to have lower numbers when playing at night, averaging about 19.8 combined points and assists compared to 21.3 during the day. This matchup is tricky because the Liberty have faced one of the toughest schedules, which could make things harder for her. While Collier is a strong player, the competition she faces tonight is fierce. Plus, the Lynx have won just 3 of their last 6 games. This means Collier might not have as many chances to rack up those stats. This bet has a good chance of hitting, but keep in mind that Collier could surprise us. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 Assists (+108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Jonquel Jones has been a star for the New York Liberty, but her performance dips when she plays away from home. At home, she averages 2.3 assists, but on the road, that number drops to only 1.2. This means she's less likely to dish out assists in this game against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've been playing well on both ends of the court, making it tougher for opponents to score. With Jonquel's recent struggles away, betting on her to get under 2.5 assists seems like a smart move. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Kayla McBride has been playing well lately, helping the Minnesota Lynx win 7 of their last 10 games. She's been a key part of their scoring, and with the Lynx averaging over 91 points a game, she's likely to get plenty of chances to add to her stats. With New York Liberty facing a tough schedule and struggling with assists recently, McBride should find the openings she needs. Betting on McBride to get over 19.5 points and assists is a solid choice here. Minnesota is at home, and the Lynx have shown they can score effectively. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are, but McBride's recent form makes this a promising pick. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article