On Sunday 27 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 171.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 171.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Minnesota Lynx are scoring a strong 91.3 points a game lately, but they also have a solid defense that can hold teams back. The New York Liberty have faced one of the toughest schedules this season, which makes their scoring numbers a bit lower. With both teams showing some good defensive plays, the combined score is likely to stay under 171.5 points. The biggest risk here is that New York has been playing well too, winning four of their last six games. Overall, it feels like there's a good chance this pick will hit. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Liberty +7 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Minnesota Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, the New York Liberty also have a solid record, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. They've faced tough teams, which shows they can handle pressure. Plus, they have a travel advantage, having less distance to cover compared to Minnesota. Betting on New York Liberty to cover the spread of 7 points makes sense here. The teams are closely matched, and our numbers suggest a final score difference of only about 2 points. The Lynx have been good, but the Liberty can put up a fight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kayla McBride Over 22.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kayla McBride is in solid form, helping the Minnesota Lynx win 7 of their last 10 games. She's been active on the court, contributing to the Lynx's strong scoring average of over 91 points a game. With her recent performances, there's a good chance she'll rack up more than 22.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists against the New York Liberty. The Liberty have been tough opponents, winning 6 of their last 10, but they've faced a challenging schedule. McBride's ability to affect the game in multiple ways makes this a promising bet. The biggest risk is that the Liberty may limit her stats, but given her recent play, she has a solid shot at reaching that total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been a star for the New York Liberty, but her performance dips when she plays away from home. At home, she averages 2.3 assists, but on the road, that number drops to only 1.2. This means she's less likely to dish out assists in this game against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've been playing well on both ends of the court, making it tougher for opponents to score. With Jonquel's recent struggles away, betting on her to get under 2.5 assists seems like a smart move. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Napheesa Collier Under 10.5 Rebounds and Assists (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
You can bet on Napheesa Collier to have under 10.5 rebounds and assists against the New York Liberty at odds of -110. Collier has been solid lately, but she tends to have lower numbers when playing at night, averaging about 19.8 combined points and assists compared to 21.3 during the day. This matchup is tricky because the Liberty have faced one of the toughest schedules, which could make things harder for her. While Collier is a strong player, the competition she faces tonight is fierce. Plus, the Lynx have won just 3 of their last 6 games. This means Collier might not have as many chances to rack up those stats. This bet has a good chance of hitting, but keep in mind that Collier could surprise us. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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