Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Breanna Stewart Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing strong defense lately, which makes me think this game will have lower scoring. I'm picking the total points to be under 184.5. Our numbers suggest a combined score closer to 162.9, so that's a solid gap. The Lynx have a better net score difference, and they also have less travel distance, which can help keep their energy up. However, the New York Liberty are also a tough team, so there's a chance they could push the score higher than expected. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Breanna Stewart needs to score points and give assists, but we're betting she will keep it under 22.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. Lately, she has been making fewer field goals than usual, averaging about six instead of a typical six and a half. Plus, her team tends to struggle with turnovers, which could limit her chances to rack up assists. The Lynx play solid defense, which can make it tough for Stewart to shine. Though she's had some success against them, the numbers suggest she might not hit her usual mark tonight. Keep an eye on the game, as it could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Courtney Williams Under 16.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Courtney Williams of the New York Liberty is facing off against the Minnesota Lynx, and this matchup has a few tricky factors. The Lynx have been tough on defense lately, allowing fewer points and assists than usual. Williams has struggled to find her rhythm, with her recent stats showing a drop in scoring and assists compared to her average. Betting on her to score under 16.5 points and assists feels like a smart move. With her recent performance showing only a few made field goals and low rebounds, she might find it tough to hit that mark. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are, meaning it could go either way. Still, Williams' recent form suggests she may not reach that total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)

The odds for Sabrina Ionescu to score under 24.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists look appealing. Our numbers show that she has been a bit off her usual game lately, averaging fewer offensive rebounds and three-pointers than normal. Her recent performance suggests she might struggle to hit that mark against a strong Lynx defense. There's a real chance this could go either way since both teams are competitive and Ionescu's stats are closer to the lower end of her range. If she gets into foul trouble or the Lynx manage to limit her chances, it could be tough for her to reach 25 combined. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.