On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals play SMU Mustangs in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 59.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 59.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Under 59.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 59.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fanatics. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
SMU Mustangs +2 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is SMU Mustangs 2 Point Spread. On this line SMU Mustangs start with 2 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetMGM. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
SMU Mustangs to Win (+106)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is SMU Mustangs Moneyline. This one only needs SMU Mustangs to win the game. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kevin Jennings Under 282.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kevin Jennings Under 282.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Kevin Jennings finishes with fewer than 282.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Lincoln Kienholz Under 248.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Lincoln Kienholz Under 248.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Lincoln Kienholz finishes with fewer than 248.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Isaac Brown Under 71.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Isaac Brown Under 71.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Isaac Brown finishes with fewer than 71.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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