On Thursday 22 October 2026, Liverpool play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Liverpool +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -204 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Liverpool hosts Arsenal, the stakes couldn't be higher, but the Reds have shown signs of life lately. Despite a mixed home record, they’re averaging 1 goal per game while limiting opponents to just 0.8—indicative of a solid defensive setup. What's particularly telling is that Liverpool has been ramping up their shooting, averaging 14 attempts per game, which bodes well for creating scoring opportunities. Considering Liverpool's recent home performances and their ability to turn the tide against a familiar foe, backing them with a 0.75 handicap feels like a savvy move in this fiery matchup.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: Liverpool Moneyline (+220)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Arsenal, there's a palpable tension brewing in this high-stakes Premier League clash. While Liverpool's recent home form shows a mixed bag—scoring just 0.8 goals per game at Anfield—their underlying metrics suggest a potential resurgence. They’ve been taking an impressive 14.4 shots at home, hinting at chances waiting to be converted. Meanwhile, Arsenal may be riding high with a solid away streak, but they haven’t faced a Liverpool side desperate for points and a return to dominance. Historically, Liverpool has struggled against the Gunners, with a record of 1-3-1 in their last five encounters, but the Anfield atmosphere can be a great equalizer. Given their need to turn the tide and the attacking potential they’ve shown, backing Liverpool to win here feels like a promising play. Expect fireworks in front of the Kop!
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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