Today's EPL Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds

As Udinese prepares to host AC Milan, the recent trends paint a compelling picture for a bet on Udinese with a -1.5 handicap. Despite a tough home spell, where they've struggled to find the back of the net, their defensive resilience could play a crucial role. Over the last five matches, they've averaged 14.2 shots per game but only managed a solitary goal. Meanwhile, AC Milan has shown mixed form away from home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. If Udinese can tighten their defense and convert a few chances, backing them to cover a 1.5 handicap could yield a rewarding payoff in this intriguing Serie A clash.

RC Lens vs Paris FC: RC Lens +0 Goal Handicap (-125)

As RC Lens prepares to host Paris FC, the stats paint a compelling picture for backing the home side. Lens has been a fortress at home, showcasing a solid record that reflects their ability to dominate weaker teams. Meanwhile, Paris FC has struggled against them in recent encounters, failing to secure a win in their last two meetings. Despite Paris FC's respectable overall form-3 wins and a draw in their last five-they've shown vulnerability away, especially with their xG figures indicating they've been reliant on good fortune rather than consistent creation. With Lens averaging 1.8 goals scored in their recent outings versus Paris's 1.4 conceded, it's clear the balance tilts in favor of the hosts. Considering Lens's strong home advantage and Paris's erratic away performances, a bet on RC Lens at 0 in the handicap market feels like a savvy move, capitalizing on their current momentum and historical dominance.

RC Lens vs Paris FC: RC Lens Draw No Bet (-120)

As RC Lens prepares to host Paris FC, the momentum strongly favors the home side. Lens has been a fortress at home, displaying an impressive record, while Paris FC struggles on the road, managing just two wins in their last five away games. In their previous encounters, Lens has held the upper hand, remaining undefeated against Paris FC in their last two meetings. The visitors have shown inconsistency, particularly in offensive output, with only 1.4 goals per match recently. With Lens boasting a robust home record, betting on them in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy move, especially given the stakes. They're poised to capitalize on Paris FC's vulnerabilities and secure a favorable outcome.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace +0.75 Goal Handicap (-105)

As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to face Crystal Palace, the recent form suggests this could be a tricky encounter for the home side. Spurs have managed a disappointing 1-3-1 record in their last five matches, failing to find the back of the net consistently. With an average of just 1.2 goals per game at home and an xG that's been alarmingly low, their attacking prowess appears stifled. On the flip side, Crystal Palace is riding a wave of confidence, with a solid 2-1-2 away record and a knack for troubling Spurs in recent meetings, going 3-0-2 in their last five encounters. While they might concede a few, Palace's attacking output, averaging 1.6 goals in their last outings, could just be the difference. Backing Crystal Palace with a 0.75 handicap seems prudent, especially as they look to capitalize on Spurs' current woes.

RC Lens vs Paris FC: RC Lens -0.25 Goal Handicap (+110)

As RC Lens prepares to host Paris FC, their recent form makes them hard to overlook. Lens has been dominant at home, and their overall record against Paris FC adds to their advantage-two consecutive wins in their last encounters. Paris, despite a decent away record, has struggled against stronger sides, and their last five outings show a concerning trend with an average of just 1.4 goals scored. What stands out is Lens's ability to create chances, boasting an impressive xG compared to their opponents. While Paris has been relatively quiet on the attacking front, averaging only 0.8 expected goals away, Lens is likely to exploit this weakness. Given Lens's recent performances and Paris's inability to find the net consistently against them, backing RC Lens at -0.25 on the handicap feels like a savvy play in this matchup. The stage is set for Lens to deliver a strong home performance.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.