On Monday 28 September 2026, Le Havre play Auxerre in Ligue 1. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 3.5 Total Goals, priced at -303 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Le Havre prepares to host Auxerre, the stage is set for a clash that leans towards a defensive battle. Looking at their recent form, both teams have struggled to find the net consistently. Le Havre's last five matches have averaged just over two goals, while Auxerre hasn't been much better, often relying on their solid backline to grind out results. When diving into expected goals (xG), it’s clear that both sides have had difficulty converting chances. Le Havre’s xG sits at a mere 1.1 per game, while Auxerre isn't far behind, hovering around 1.2. With both teams clearly prioritizing defensive solidity, the prospect of a high-scoring affair feels unlikely. Plus, their head-to-head history suggests a trend of low-scoring encounters. All signs point to a cagey match, making the 'Under 3.5 goals' bet a compelling option for this Ligue One showdown.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: Both Teams To Score: No (+115)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Le Havre prepares to host Auxerre, the stage is set for a clash that could see defenses shine. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently this season. Le Havre, known for their gritty defensive setup, has seen just a handful of goals in their recent fixtures, with an xG that suggests they’re creating less than they concede. Auxerre isn't much different; their attacking woes have left them with only a couple of goals in their last five outings. What’s more, the head-to-head history leans towards a low-scoring affair, with previous matches often ending goalless or with a single strike. With both teams finding it hard to convert chances and Le Havre's strong defensive record, betting on "No" for both teams to score feels like a savvy move. Expect a battle of attrition, where defenses will likely dictate the outcome.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: Auxerre +0.5 Goal Handicap (-189)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As we look ahead to the clash between Le Havre and Auxerre, it’s hard to ignore the momentum Auxerre has built lately. They’ve been a resilient side, racking up points consistently, and their attacking prowess is reflected in their solid xG numbers. In contrast, Le Havre has struggled to find their rhythm, often falling short against teams that press them high. Recent form speaks volumes; Auxerre’s ability to convert chances has seen them score in nearly every match, while Le Havre’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding more than expected. With Auxerre’s recent win streak and their knack for getting on the scoreboard early, betting on them to cover a 0.5 handicap feels like the smart play. This match could very well tilt in favor of the visitors as they look to capitalize on Le Havre’s defensive lapses. It’s a calculated wager on a team in form, and the odds reflect their potential to come through.
That is how our model reads Le Havre v Auxerre. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article