Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks (A'ja Wilson Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The Las Vegas Aces need to keep their winning streak going against the Indiana Fever tonight. The Aces have been on fire, winning their last six games and putting up a solid average of 91.1 points per game this season. They've also won eight of their last ten, showing they know how to keep the momentum going. The Fever are strong as well, winning seven of their last ten and scoring 96.7 points per game, so it won't be an easy matchup. However, the Aces are at home, and they have the advantage of better recent form. One concrete risk is that the teams are quite close in overall wins this season, but the Aces seem likely to come out on top tonight. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 191.5 Total Points (-263)

The Las Vegas Aces are on a fantastic run, winning six straight games and scoring an impressive average of 91.1 points. However, the Indiana Fever are also doing well, with a solid average of 96.7 points over their last few games. Despite both teams' scoring abilities, our numbers suggest a combined total of about 167 points, which is quite a bit lower than the line. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are in terms of recent wins. Still, going with the Under 191.5 seems like a smart choice given the trend. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 30.5 Points and Assists (-110)

A'ja Wilson has been on a solid streak, helping the Las Vegas Aces win six games in a row and eight of their last ten. However, the Indiana Fever are also scoring a lot, averaging nearly 97 points per game. Despite the fast pace from both teams, Wilson might not hit her usual mark for points and assists. The Aces rely on strong defense, which could limit Wilson's opportunities. With her recent averages showing a drop in three-pointers and assists, it makes sense to bet she will stay under 30.5 points and assists in this matchup. The Fever are tough, but keep an eye on how both teams play; this could be closer than expected. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Mitchell Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)

The odds at -102 for Kelsey Mitchell to score under 29.5 points, rebounds, and assists look promising. Our numbers like this because Mitchell has been up against strong competition recently, and the Las Vegas Aces are not just winning but really dominating their games. They've won six in a row and are scoring a lot, but they also play tough defense which can limit her stats. One concrete risk is that both teams are scoring well overall, so there's a chance Mitchell could have a standout performance. Still, with the Aces only allowing fewer chances and Mitchell's recent form, it feels like a smart pick to go under 29.5 for her combined points, rebounds, and assists. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jewell Loyd Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-112)

Jewell Loyd has been playing well lately, but the Aces have a strong defense that can limit her chances. The Las Vegas Aces have won eight of their last ten games and are known for their solid team play. They have been especially good at controlling the pace, which can make it harder for Loyd to get open looks for three-pointers. Betting on Jewell Loyd to make under 1.5 three-pointers seems smart here. While she can score, the Aces have been limiting opponents' shooting from beyond the arc. The biggest risk is that Loyd could get hot early, but with the Aces in such good form, they may keep her in check. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.