On Saturday 10 October 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 158.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 158.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For the total points to go over 158.5 tonight, both teams need to score well, and they have shown they can. The Las Vegas Aces are averaging a high 90.9 points per game this season and have won 8 of their last 10 games, showing they can really light up the scoreboard. The Golden State Valkyries have also been in great form, winning 8 of their last 10. However, they have faced some tough teams, which could keep their scoring lower than expected. Still, with both teams in good scoring shape, this bet looks promising. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries +4.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are scoring a lot of points and have won 33 of their last 49 games, but the Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll too, winning 8 of their last 10. Both teams have faced tough opponents recently, but the Valkyries' schedule has been one of the hardest in the league. This matchup feels very close, and with the points being offered, the Valkyries have a good chance to keep it within 4.5 points. The biggest risk here is just how well the Aces have been playing at home, but I think the Valkyries can surprise us. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chelsea Gray is a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, and she's been really active lately. The Aces are scoring a lot of points and playing well, plus they've been winning most of their recent games. Against the Golden State Valkyries, who have had a tough schedule, Chelsea should have plenty of chances to rack up rebounds and assists. The bet on Chelsea Gray getting over 9.5 rebounds and assists fits well here. While both teams have been strong lately, the Valkyries struggle more against top teams, which could give Chelsea the upper hand. The biggest risk is how close the teams are in performance, making it a tricky matchup. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kiah Stokes Over 2.5 Points (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds at -110 for Kiah Stokes to score over 2.5 points look good. The Las Vegas Aces have been scoring a lot lately, averaging nearly 91 points per game this season. Stokes has a solid chance to contribute, especially since the Aces are in great form, winning 8 out of their last 10 games. The Golden State Valkyries, while also strong, have faced a tougher schedule against teams that aren't doing so well. This could mean they might struggle more against a scoring powerhouse like the Aces. The biggest risk here is how close both teams have been performing lately, so things might be tight. Still, with the way the Aces are playing, Stokes should have good opportunities to score. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Stephanie Talbot Over 10.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of about 91 points per game. They're playing at home in the Michelob Ultra Arena, which gives them a solid boost. On the other hand, the Golden State Valkyries have also been doing well, winning 8 of their last 10 games, but they've faced tougher opponents lately. Stephanie Talbot has been a key player for the Aces, helping with points, rebounds, and assists. With the way she has been performing, betting on her to get over 10.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists seems promising. The biggest risk is that both teams are playing well, so it could be a close match. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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