Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier Prediction & Picks

Javad Mahjoub and Joel Faglier both have strong skills, but Mahjoub needs to keep the pressure on to win. He's younger, which can give him an advantage in speed and stamina. Faglier is tough, so Mahjoub will have to avoid getting too comfortable and let Faglier find his rhythm. Betting on Mahjoub to win by at least 4 points feels promising. It's a close matchup, so it could go either way, but our numbers suggest Mahjoub can pull ahead. Just remember, Faglier can be tricky, and if he capitalizes on any mistakes, it could swing the fight in his favor. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Chad Anheliger: last five L-W-L-L-W, lost the last fight, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 714 days since the last fight
• Steven Koslow: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 1407 days since the last fight
• Chelsea Chandler: last five W-L-L-W-L, won the last fight, 9% of career wins came by knockout, 133 days since the last fight
• Melissa Croden: last five W-L-W, won the last fight, 9% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Erin Blanchfield: last five W-W-L-W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 336 days since the last fight
• Jasmine Jasudavicius: last five W-L-W-W-W, won the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Julien LeBlanc: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Nick Galanti: last five W, won the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 53 days since the last fight
• Kyle Daukaus: last five L-W-W-L-L, lost the last fight, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 124 days since the last fight
• Marc-Andre Barriault: last five L-L-W-L-L, dropped the last 2, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 252 days since the last fight
• Kyle Nelson: last five L-W-L-W-W, lost the last fight, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 203 days since the last fight
• Mike Malott: last five W-W-W-W-L, on a 4-fight win streak, 18% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Joaquin Buckley: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 21% of career wins came by knockout, 161 days since the last fight
• SuYoung You: last five L-W-W-W, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 217 days since the last fight
• Cody Chovancek: last five W, won the last fight, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 395 days since the last fight
• Tanner Boser: last five L-W-L-L-W, lost the last fight, 9% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Jhonata Diniz: last five L-W-L-W-W, lost the last fight, 18% of career wins came by knockout, 371 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Javad Mahjoub v Joel Faglier. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.