Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo Prediction & Picks

Matheus Camilo has a solid chance to win against Jai Herbert, especially with his longer reach and strong fighting style. Camilo needs to use that reach to keep Herbert at bay and score points. The numbers suggest this could be a close fight, but Camilo has the skills to stay in control and cover the point spread. One thing to keep in mind is that both fighters are quite durable, so it might go the distance. However, Camilo's recent form looks a bit better, giving him an advantage. With the way these two match up, taking Camilo to win by at least 7.5 points seems like a smart move. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jai Herbert to Win (+170)

Jai Herbert and Matheus Camilo both bring different styles to the octagon. Herbert is known for his striking skills, which could give him the upper hand if he keeps the fight standing. Camilo, on the other hand, might try to take Herbert down, but that's where things get tricky. Our numbers show this matchup is very close, almost like a coin flip, so it could go either way. Betting on Jai Herbert to win offers some solid value at these odds. He has the striking ability to finish fights, which could be crucial here. The biggest risk is that both fighters are quite durable, so it might go the distance. Still, if Herbert can find his rhythm early, he could take this one home. It was priced at +170 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Jai Herbert: last five W-L-W-L-W, won the last fight, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 176 days since the last fight
• Matheus Camilo: last five W-W-L, on a 2-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 106 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Jai Herbert v Matheus Camilo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.