On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever need to keep up their strong scoring to cover the point spread against the Minnesota Lynx. They've been on a roll lately, winning seven of their last ten games and scoring an impressive average of 97 points per game this season. The Fever have shown they can compete well, especially at home. The Lynx are also doing well, winning seven of their last ten and averaging 91.3 points per game. The matchup is really close, with our numbers showing it could go either way. The biggest risk is how evenly matched they are, as the teams have very similar winning records this season. Still, the Fever have the home advantage and are hitting their stride. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Indiana Fever to Win (+100)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever need to keep their winning streak going against the Minnesota Lynx tonight. The Fever have been impressive recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an average of 97 points per game. They are also playing at home, which usually gives a nice boost to teams. The Lynx have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, but they have a tougher travel schedule, having to travel more than the Fever. This matchup is really tight, and it could go either way, but with the Fever's recent scoring form and home advantage, they have a good chance to take this one. The biggest risk is that the Lynx are also playing well and could easily pull off an upset. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 199.5 Total Points (-303)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx both play solid basketball, but their recent scoring suggests a lower total here. Indiana has been scoring 97 points a game lately, while Minnesota is at 91.3 points. Even with those numbers, our model thinks the combined score will be around 171.6, which is quite a bit lower than the line set at 199.5 points. The Fever's recent form has been impressive, winning 7 of their last 10, but the Lynx are just as strong. The main risk is how close these teams are in winning percentages, so it could be a tighter game than expected. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Caitlin Clark has been on fire lately, helping the Indiana Fever score an impressive average of 97 points per game. With her team winning 4 of their last 6 games, she's in great form. The bet is for her to score over 21.5 points today against the Minnesota Lynx. Both teams are playing well, but Clark's scoring ability stands out. Just remember, the Lynx have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games, so it won't be easy. This bet has a good chance, but nothing is certain. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kelsey Mitchell Under 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kelsey Mitchell has been solid lately, but both teams are playing strong defense. Indiana Fever has won 4 of their last 6 games and scores a lot, but they have also been tough on their opponents. Mitchell's points, rebounds, and assists might be limited because the Minnesota Lynx are also in good form, winning 4 of their last 6. This matchup is pretty close, so there's a real chance Mitchell won't hit the mark of 30.5 when it comes to combined stats. Both teams have been known to tighten up defensively, especially in important games like this one. Betting on her to stay under could be a smart move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Napheesa Collier Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Napheesa Collier has been playing well, but both teams are scoring a lot lately, making it tough to predict individual performances. The Indiana Fever have been strong, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and putting up a huge 97 points a game. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Lynx are also on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 and scoring 91 points a game. With Collier's recent stats showing lower numbers in rebounds and blocks, there's a good chance she might not hit over 26.5 points and rebounds combined. The real risk is how close these teams are in talent and scoring ability, which can lead to tight games where individual stats can struggle. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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