New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks (Breanna Stewart Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The New York Liberty are on a solid run, winning 7 of their last 10 games, while the Atlanta Dream have also been strong, taking 8 of their last 10. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents recently, which could mean they struggle to score big. With both teams holding back-to-back wins and combined recent scoring trends, I like the bet on under 186.5 total points. The biggest risk is that both teams are in good form, but considering how tough the Liberty's schedule has been, I think they might not hit those high numbers today. It was priced at -256 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

For Breanna Stewart to go under 27.5 points and rebounds tonight, she needs to have a quieter game than usual. New York Liberty is facing off against the Atlanta Dream, both teams in great form but with tougher competition for Stewart. The Liberty have played against some strong opponents recently, which could make scoring and rebounding a bit trickier for her. Even though Stewart is a superstar, her recent numbers show she might not hit that total. Atlanta has also faced tougher teams lately, so both defenses could be tighter. With both teams winning a lot, this game might come down to strategy rather than individual stats. It's definitely possible Stewart won't reach that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 15.5 Rebounds and Assists (+111)

Angel Reese needs to grab enough rebounds and dish out assists to go over 15.5 tonight. She's been solid at night, scoring almost 22 points and assists combined in her recent games. The Liberty have faced tough opponents, but they are still winning a good number of their matches. The Dream have been on a roll too, winning many games lately. However, the close competition means this bet could easily go either way. The main risk is that both teams are strong, making it tough for Reese to hit that number. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Over 5.5 Rebounds and Assists (-109)

Allisha Gray has been playing really well lately, especially during daytime games, where she averages over 25 points and assists combined. In her last few games, she's shown she can grab rebounds too, making her a solid pick for this bet. The New York Liberty have had a tough schedule recently, which could mean a closer game, but Gray has been stepping up nicely. With the Liberty's strong defense, Gray will likely need to be active on the boards and set up her teammates. The risk here is that both teams have been winning a lot, so it could be a tight match. Still, with Gray's recent performance, I think she can get over 5.5 rebounds and assists today. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.