On Sunday 18 October 2026, Hull City play Brentford in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Hull City Draw No Bet, priced at +245 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
In the upcoming clash between Hull City and Brentford, opting for Hull City in the Draw No Bet market feels astute given their home form and recent trends. Hull has shown resilience, especially at home, with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five home fixtures, conceding a mere 0.4 goals per game during this stretch. Brentford, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, managing just one win in their last five away games and allowing an average of 1.8 goals per game. Hull’s ability to create chances, averaging 8.6 shots per home match, combined with Brentford’s leaky defense, sets the stage for Hull to capitalize. With both teams posting low xG numbers recently, this match could very well be decided by a narrow margin, making the Draw No Bet option on Hull a promising play.
Hull City vs Brentford: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-227)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Hull City prepares to host Brentford, the signs point to a low-scoring affair. Hull's recent form at home shows a stark average of just one goal scored per match over their last five games, while they’ve managed to keep opponents to a mere 0.4 goals per game. Meanwhile, Brentford's away struggles are evident, averaging just 1.2 goals over their last five outings. Both teams have seen their xG figures stagnate at zero, indicating a lack of offensive threat. With Hull's defensive setup tightening and Brentford floundering on the road, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the total exceeds 3.5 goals.
That is how our model reads Hull City v Brentford. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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