On Monday 28 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 154 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 154 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries are playing strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They have faced tough opponents lately, but that hasn't slowed them down. The Dallas Wings are also on a roll, scoring an impressive 89.4 points a game this season. This matchup has the makings of a high-scoring affair, and the total points line is set at 154. With both teams scoring well and strong recent form, betting on the total points to go over 154 makes sense. The close competition means this game could easily swing either way. The biggest risk is that both teams might have an off night, but with their scoring averages, I think they'll light it up. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dallas Wings +7.5 on the Line (-109)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries are both on a strong run, winning five of their last six games. The Wings are scoring a solid 89.1 points per game, which gives them a good chance to keep things competitive. Betting on the Wings to cover the spread of 7.5 points seems smart here. The teams are closely matched, and our numbers suggest it's almost a toss-up, with the expected final margin being just under five points. One risk is that the Wings have to travel a bit more for this game, but they've been playing well, so they can definitely keep it close. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kaila Charles Over 7.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The odds for Kaila Charles to score over 7.5 points look good at +108. Both the Golden State Valkyries and the Dallas Wings are playing well, with each team winning 5 of their last 6 games. Charles has been active lately, and with the Valkyries scoring an impressive 82.3 points a game, there's a solid chance she gets the looks she needs to hit that mark. However, the Wings have been strong too, averaging 89.1 points a game, so they could keep the pressure on. Since both teams are on a roll, it might be a tight game, but our numbers suggest Charles has a good shot to score. Let's see if she can get it done! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gabby Williams Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Gabby Williams needs to score points and grab rebounds tonight, but the bet is for her to get less than 19.5 combined. Both the Golden State Valkyries and the Dallas Wings are strong teams, with the Wings scoring more points per game this season, but Williams has been held back lately. The matchup could get tight, and that means fewer chances for her to shine. The Valkyries have been playing well, winning 5 of their last 6 games, while the Wings have a similar record. The risk here is that both teams are in good form, making it tough to predict who will dominate. With Williams needing to compete against two solid teams, it's possible she might not reach that number tonight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla Thornton Under 12.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The odds for Kayla Thornton to score under 12.5 points and rebounds look promising at -110. Our numbers suggest this could work out well since both teams are in strong form, but Thornton has a tough matchup against the Golden State Valkyries, who have won seven of their last ten games. They've faced some of the hardest competition in the league, which may make it harder for her to shine. Thornton's recent performance shows she's not hitting her usual numbers. Plus, the Valkyries' defense is solid, and they're great at stopping scoring chances. The biggest risk here is that the Dallas Wings have also been playing well, winning seven of their last ten games. But with the way the Valkyries are playing, this under could be a smart move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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