Gauge Young vs Stan Dorsainvil Prediction & Picks: Our Expert Analysis

On Saturday 22 August 2026, Gauge Young takes on Stan Dorsainvil in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Gauge Young -5.5 on the Line, priced at +150 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Gauge Young -5.5 on the Line (+150)

In this fight, Gauge Young is up against Stan Dorsainvil, and both fighters have their strengths. Young is known for being a solid striker, while Dorsainvil is tough and can hold his own. The point spread of -5.5 for Young means he needs to win by a decent margin to cover the bet. It's a bit of a gamble, as our numbers see this matchup as nearly even, but if Young can use his striking skills effectively, he might just pull it off. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Anthony Hernandez: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Anthony Wint: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 11 days since the last fight
• Carli Judice: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 182 days since the last fight
• Chris Padilla: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 287 days since the last fight
• Elise Reed: last five L-W-L-W-L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 462 days since the last fight
• Gregory Rodrigues: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 28% of career wins came by knockout, 168 days since the last fight
• Jackson McVey: last five W-L-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 119 days since the last fight
• Jamall Emmers: last five W-W-L-W-L, on a 2-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 287 days since the last fight
• Jeisla Chaves: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 77 days since the last fight
• Kennedy Nzechukwu: last five L-W-W-L-L, dropped the last 1, 33% of career wins came by knockout, 406 days since the last fight
• Lerryan Douglas: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 147 days since the last fight
• Marcio Barbosa: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 126 days since the last fight
• MarQuel Mederos: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 441 days since the last fight
• Mason Jones: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 154 days since the last fight
• Nasrat Haqparast: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 301 days since the last fight
• Reinier de Ridder: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 168 days since the last fight
• Roman Dolidze: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 154 days since the last fight
• Shamil Gaziev: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 112 days since the last fight
• Shanelle Dyer: last five W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 154 days since the last fight
• Wes Schultz: last five W-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 112 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Gauge Young v Stan Dorsainvil. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.