Marcus McGhee vs Bernardo Sopaj Prediction & Picks

The odds of +150 for Marcus McGhee to win by more than 3.5 points look interesting. McGhee might have a slight advantage with a longer reach, which could help him control the fight from a distance. However, Sopaj is no slouch and has shown solid durability, so he can definitely make it tough for McGhee. With both fighters being so evenly matched, this could come down to who can push the pace and land the better shots. It's a risky bet, but if McGhee plays to his strengths, he could secure a win that covers the spread. It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Marcus McGhee: last five W-L-W-W-W, won the last fight, 15% of career wins came by knockout, 117 days since the last fight
• Bernardo Sopaj: last five W-W-L, on a 2-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 138 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Marcus McGhee v Bernardo Sopaj. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.