Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs head to Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but betting on him to hit more than 2.5 threes could be a misstep. While he's showcased sparks of brilliance, averaging 1.4 threes made over his last five games, his away performance dips slightly to 1.2. With the Nuggets' defense tightening up at home, it's worth noting that Wembanyama has only cleared 2.5 threes once in his last nine games, hitting the under in eight of those. Moreover, his previous matchups against Denver reveal he averages just 2.7 threes on the road, and the Nuggets are known for their physical defense that can stifle even the most talented shooters. With an expected stat value of 1.75, it feels prudent to lean into the under here. A disciplined approach should pay off as he likely struggles to find his rhythm against a hungry Denver squad.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to host the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but not necessarily for his rebounding prowess. The reigning MVP has been a rebounding machine, averaging a whopping 17 boards over his last five games. However, when we zoom in on his performance against the Spurs specifically, that number dips to around 12.6 rebounds. At home, he's only hit the 14.6 mark, which is promising, but his numbers against San Antonio at home show a more modest average of 12. This matchup could also see him focusing more on playmaking, particularly with the Nuggets' depth in the frontcourt. The trend is clear: in 7 of his last 11 home games, he's fallen under that 13.5 threshold. Betting the under on Jokic's rebounds feels like a smart play as he navigates this matchup against a Spurs team that can stretch defenses but doesn't often challenge for boards.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs face off against the Nuggets, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but we might want to pump the brakes on his rebounding numbers. While he's been a force on the boards, averaging 15.8 rebounds over his last five outings, the trend shifts when he plays away. His average dips to 14.2, and the Nuggets present a unique challenge with their size and rebounding prowess. When looking at Wembanyama's recent performances against Denver, he's only managed 14.7 rebounds on the road. With the crowd behind the Nuggets and their disciplined rebounding strategy, it's plausible he falls short of the 12.5 mark. Plus, his hit rate on the road is impressive but not invincible, with a recent 10 out of 17 games falling below that line. Betting the under here could be a savvy play as he navigates a tough matchup away from home.

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