On Sunday 4 October 2026, Court McGee takes on Eric Nolan in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Eric Nolan -7.5 on the Line, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Eric Nolan -7.5 on the Line (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Both fighters are quite evenly matched, making this a tough contest to call. Eric Nolan has a slight reach advantage and is younger, which could help him control the fight. The fight is expected to be very close, but Nolan has a solid chance to cover that -7.5 point spread. The biggest risk is how tight their skills are, as McGee's experience can definitely keep him competitive. Still, Nolan's fresh legs and reach might just make the difference in this matchup. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Court McGee to Win (+210)

Odds correct at time of publishing.

The odds for Court McGee to win this fight against Eric Nolan are +207, which means there's a nice reward if he pulls off the victory. Our numbers show that McGee is an underdog with a real shot. Even though Nolan has a slightly better recent form, McGee has more experience and a solid reach advantage that could help him control the fight. One key risk is that both fighters are pretty evenly matched, which makes it unpredictable. However, McGee's durability and style can wear down his opponents over time. If he can stick to his game plan and use his reach effectively, he has a strong chance to come out on top. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Court McGee: last five L-W-L-L-L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 476 days since the last fight
  • Eric Nolan: last five L-L, dropped the last 2, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 98 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Court McGee v Eric Nolan. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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