On Thursday 15 October 2026, Chelsea play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to host Tottenham, the stage is set for a high-scoring affair. The Blues have been formidable at home, averaging 2.8 goals in their last five matches at Stamford Bridge and consistently finding the net against Spurs, boasting a perfect 5-0 record in their last five encounters. Meanwhile, Tottenham has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game away. Chelsea’s attacking prowess is evident, having averaged 13.8 shots and 5.6 shots on target at home recently, while Spurs have been flat, scoring just 0.8 goals per game away. With the Blues’ attacking rhythm and Spurs’ shaky backline, it’s hard to see this match finishing with fewer than two goals. Bet on ‘Over 1.5’ total goals to capitalize on what promises to be an entertaining clash.
That is how our model reads Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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