On Saturday 17 October 2026, Chad Anheliger takes on Steven Koslow in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 2.5 Total Rounds, priced at +106 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 2.5 Total Rounds (+106)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chad Anheliger is known for his striking skills, while Steven Koslow is a solid wrestler who can take fights to the ground. This matchup presents a challenge for both fighters. Anheliger needs to keep the fight standing to showcase his striking, while Koslow will want to wrestle and control the pace. The odds suggest this fight could go either way, making it a bit of a toss-up. Betting on over 2.5 rounds seems like a smart choice. Both fighters have the skills to push through and make this a longer fight. However, there's a risk that if one fighter dominates early, it could end quickly. With the odds at +106, it feels like a fair shot at seeing more action in the cage. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Steven Koslow -5.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chad Anheliger and Steven Koslow have different fighting styles, which makes this matchup interesting. Koslow is known for his striking skills, and he needs to keep the fight standing to use his reach advantage. Anheliger will likely try to close the distance and make it a brawl, but that might not work out for him. Betting on Steven Koslow to win by more than 5.5 points seems like a smart choice. The biggest risk here is how well Anheliger can handle Koslow's striking. It's tough to predict, but Koslow might just pull ahead. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Steven Koslow to Win (-149)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chad Anheliger is a tough fighter who likes to keep the pressure on with his striking. Steven Koslow, on the other hand, has a strong ground game and can really control the fight if it goes to the mat. This matchup is almost like a coin flip, but I think Koslow has what it takes to pull off the win. At these odds, he's definitely worth a shot. The biggest risk is that Anheliger's striking could catch Koslow off guard if he doesn't get the fight to the ground early enough. Still, if Koslow plays to his strengths, he could come out on top. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Chad Anheliger: last five L-W-L-L-W, lost the last fight, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 714 days since the last fight
- Steven Koslow: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 1407 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Chad Anheliger v Steven Koslow. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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