Here are our Tennis picks for Wednesday 23 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Elise Mertens to win the match, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens to win the match (-125)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Elise Mertens faces Maja Chwalinska at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Elise Mertens wins the match. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Mertens' recent form is impressive, with an 80% win rate over her last five matches, indicating strong competitive momentum. In contrast, Chwalinska's last five matches show significant vulnerabilities, particularly in serve performance where her opponent's first-serve percentage reached 71.4%, with 53.3% of points won on first serves and only 22.2% on second serves, reflecting pressure point weaknesses. Mertens has consistently capitalized on opponents' serve faults, as evidenced by her high break point save percentage of 50%. Given her superior recent form and the statistical advantages in serve and pressure situations, Mertens presents a compelling case as the more reliable player in this matchup.

Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala: Alexandra Eala to win the match (-357)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Tatiana Prozorova faces Alexandra Eala at Singapore Open on Thursday 24 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexandra Eala wins the match. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Eala boasts a recent win rate of 60% over her last five matches and 80% over the last ten, indicating strong current form. Despite the absence of detailed serve stats, Eala's overall performance suggests she can convert pressure points effectively, especially given Prozorova's lack of recent competitive data.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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