On Wednesday 26 August 2026, Bella Mir takes on Alex Apodaca in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Alex Apodaca to Win, priced at +2300 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alex Apodaca to Win (+2300)

Odds available at Betanysports at time of publishing

Bella Mir and Alex Apodaca are set to clash in a UFC fight where both fighters have their strengths. Apodaca has a tough challenge ahead against Mir, who is known for her striking. Apodaca will need to keep the fight on the ground and use his wrestling skills to gain control. His path to victory relies on effectively neutralizing Mir's striking. With Apodaca labeled as a long shot, the odds are definitely against him, but that's what makes this interesting. The reach difference gives Mir some advantages in striking, and that could be a real factor. Still, if Apodaca can execute his game plan and find a way to avoid Mir's attacks, he might just pull off the upset. It was priced at +2300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $240 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Mario Piazzon: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 1064 days since the last fight
  • Guilherme Uriel: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 371 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Bella Mir v Alex Apodaca. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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