Anthony Wint vs Lucas Armand Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Anthony Wint takes on Lucas Armand in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Anthony Wint -7.5 on the Line, priced at -303 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Anthony Wint -7.5 on the Line (-303)

This fight features Anthony Wint and Lucas Armand, with both fighters looking to prove themselves. Wint, who is rated as a strong favorite, has the skills to control this matchup. He needs to use his striking to keep Armand at bay and avoid getting into a grappling situation where Armand might excel. The numbers suggest Wint should finish with a solid margin of around seven and a half points, which shows he has the potential to win decisively. The main risk here is that Armand could surprise Wint if the fight goes to the ground, where he might have a chance. Still, Wint looks set to take this one home. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Alden Coria: last five W-W-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 6% of career wins came by knockout, 77 days since the last fight
• Imanol Rodriguez: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 29% of career wins came by knockout, 217 days since the last fight
• Andrey Pulyaev: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 98 days since the last fight
• Damian Pinas: last five W-W-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 18% of career wins came by knockout, 84 days since the last fight
• Anthony Romero: last five W, won the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 2229 days since the last fight
• Marcus McGhee: last five W-L-W-W-W, won the last fight, 15% of career wins came by knockout, 119 days since the last fight
• Court McGee: last five L-W-L-L-L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 476 days since the last fight
• Eric Nolan: last five L-L, dropped the last 2, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 98 days since the last fight
• Deiveson Figueiredo: last five L-L-W-L-L, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 126 days since the last fight
• Payton Talbott: last five W-W-L-W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 17% of career wins came by knockout, 301 days since the last fight
• King Green: last five W-W-W-W-L, on a 4-fight win streak, 9% of career wins came by knockout, 84 days since the last fight
• Esteban Ribovics: last five W-L-W-L-W, won the last fight, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 49 days since the last fight
• Marvin Vettori: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 301 days since the last fight
• Ismail Naurdiev: last five W-L-W-L-W, won the last fight, 3% of career wins came by knockout, 315 days since the last fight
• Natalia Silva: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 8-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 252 days since the last fight
• Wang Cong: last five W-W-W-W-L, on a 4-fight win streak, 9% of career wins came by knockout, 84 days since the last fight
• Khaos Williams: last five W-L-L-W-W, won the last fight, 24% of career wins came by knockout, 140 days since the last fight
• Roman Kopylov: last five W-L-L-W-W, won the last fight, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 147 days since the last fight
• Ateba Gautier: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 42% of career wins came by knockout, 147 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Anthony Wint v Lucas Armand. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.