Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Prediction & Picks

Jacob Malkoun has a good chance in his fight against Abubakar Vagaev because he brings a strong wrestling style that can really put pressure on his opponent. Malkoun knows how to control the fight and take it to the ground, which could help him score points and avoid dangerous strikes from Vagaev. While Vagaev is tough and has some solid striking skills, Malkoun's wrestling could give him the upper hand. The fight could be close, but Malkoun's ability to take the fight where he wants it makes this bet worth considering. It was priced at +139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+265)

The odds of +265 for under 2.5 rounds in the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Jacob Malkoun look promising. Both fighters have styles that could lead to a quick finish, with Vagaev known for his powerful striking and Malkoun being a smart wrestler. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance this fight won't go the distance, with an expected total of about 1.1 rounds. The biggest risk here is that both fighters are quite competitive, so it could turn into a longer battle if they manage to counter each other's strengths. However, given their skills and recent performances, a quick finish feels likely. This bet could be worth a shot if you think the action will heat up fast! It was priced at +265 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $36.50 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Abubakar Vagaev: last five W, won the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 91 days since the last fight
• Jacob Malkoun: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 175 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Abubakar Vagaev v Jacob Malkoun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.