On Wednesday 14 October 2026, Will Rentz takes on Luis Francischinelli in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at +250 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 1.5 Total Rounds (+250)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for the total rounds in the fight between Will Rentz and Luis Francischinelli are offering a great chance at +207. Our numbers suggest this matchup is pretty evenly matched, almost like a coin flip in how it might go. Both fighters have their strengths, and while Rentz may lean more towards striking, Francischinelli has solid grappling skills. The risk here is that the fight could end quickly, as the expected combined total rounds is around 1.1. Still, if both fighters can keep it standing and show off their skills, there's a good chance we'll see at least two rounds. It's definitely worth a shot to bet on the over for this fight. It was priced at +250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $35 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Will Rentz v Luis Francischinelli. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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