Here are our Bundesliga picks for Wednesday 14 October 2026. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Jordy Makengo (Freiburg) Yes Anytime Goalscorer, priced at +3000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Jordy Makengo (Freiburg) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+3000)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As SC Freiburg heads into the lion’s den of Bayer Leverkusen, this matchup offers a compelling opportunity for Jordy Makengo to make a splash. Sure, he hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboards lately, averaging a mere 0.4 shots overall and 0.2 on target. However, sometimes it’s about being in the right place at the right time. Freiburg will need to exploit any gaps in Leverkusen’s defense, and that’s where a sprightly Makengo could shine. With Leverkusen’s backline occasionally vulnerable, it's not out of the realm of possibility for him to find a sniff at goal. At an enticing price of 31, this bet feels like a calculated gamble. If he can muster even a couple of shots, a well-placed strike could reward those brave enough to back him. In football, opportunities can come from the unlikeliest of places—sometimes you just have to take the leap.
Montassar Talbi (Lorient) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+3300)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Lorient prepares to face AS Monaco, the spotlight might not traditionally shine on Montassar Talbi, but let's delve deeper. Playing at home, where the atmosphere is electric, Talbi has a unique opportunity to disrupt Monaco’s defense. While his recent scoring record may not dazzle, averaging 0 goals in his last five games, it’s essential to consider the context. Talbi has shown promise with an average of 0.8 shots per game, and at home, he’s just as active. What’s particularly intriguing is his ability to connect with set pieces and crosses—the kind of unpredictability that can exploit gaps in Monaco’s backline. The odds reflect a hefty underdog status, but the potential upside is tantalizing. If Lorient can create chances, Talbi’s name could very well pop up on the scoresheet, making the Anytime Goalscorer market an enticing gamble for those willing to ride the wave of unpredictability.
Carlens Arcus (Angers) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+2500)
Odds correct at time of publishing
In the upcoming clash between Angers and Marseille, keep an eye on Carlens Arcus as a potential anytime goalscorer. While his recent form may not scream 'goal machine'—with an average of 0.2 goals in his last five outings—there’s more to this narrative. Playing at home, he’s had a similar scoring average, but the context shifts dramatically in a high-pressure match against a formidable opponent like Marseille. Arcus's tendency to pop up with key shots—averaging 0.4 per game at home—could be pivotal. His role in Angers’ attacking setup means he’ll find himself in the right areas, especially when the team looks to exploit Marseille’s defensive vulnerabilities. With Marseille known for their occasional lapses, Arcus represents a tantalizing gamble at those lengthy odds. Sometimes, it’s about the opportunity, and this could just be the moment he capitalizes on.
That is the model's read on today's Bundesliga card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article