New England Patriots vs New York Giants : NA -7.5 Point Spread (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on New England Patriots -7.5 in the 'spreads' market is backed by a strong statistical performance of the Patriots and a less than optimal performance from the away team. Looking at their last five games, the Patriots have a solid home record of 5-0 overall and 4-1 at home. Their point differential is positive both overall (8.8) and at home (11), suggesting they've been consistently outscoring their opponents. On the other hand, the away team has struggled recently, with a 0-5 record both overall and on the road. Their point differential is negative (-9.2 overall, -8.4 on the road), indicating they've been outscored by their opponents. In terms of EPA (Expected Points Added), the Patriots also have a higher differential both overall (10.10) and at home (11.34) compared to the away team (-9.48 overall, -7.12

New England Patriots vs New York Giants : NA -7.5 Point Spread (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The New England Patriots have been performing strongly, especially at home, with a 5-0 record in their last 5 overall games and 4-1 in their last 5 home games. They have an average point differential of +8.8 overall and +11 at home, indicating a consistent ability to outscore their opponents. The Patriots' offensive efficiency is solid, with higher EPA (expected points added) for than against, and better numbers in passing than rushing. Their defense has also been effective, limiting opponents to fewer total yards and maintaining a positive turnover differential. In contrast, the opposing team has struggled, with a stark 0-5 record in their last 5 overall games and on the road. Their point differential is negative, indicating they have been outscored by their opponents. They also have a negative EPA differential and have been allowing more yards and turnovers than the Patriots. These statistics suggest a stronger performance by the Patriots, thus supporting a bet on the New England Patriots

New England Patriots vs New York Giants : Under 46.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Under 46.5 in the totals market for this game is supported by several key statistical points. Firstly, the away team has been struggling recently with an overall score for the last five games of only 22.2 and a score against of 31.4, which is resulting in a negative point difference of -9.2. This indicates a weak offensive performance, suggesting a lower overall game score. Secondly, the home team's record shows a strong defense, with a score against over the last five games of only 18.6, pointing to a strong capability to limit the away team's scoring opportunities. Lastly, both teams have a negative turnover difference, indicating that mistakes are leading to fewer scoring opportunities. When these factors are combined, it suggests that the total score for this game is likely to stay under 46.5.

New England Patriots vs New York Giants : Under 46.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The under 46.5 bet in the totals market for this game appears to be a solid choice due to both teams' recent performance data. The home team's recent record shows a strong defense, with a low score against average of 18.6 across their last five games. Their EPA (Expected Points Added) against is negative, indicating they often prevent their opponents from scoring. The away team's performance further supports this bet. They have been struggling on offense, with an average score for of 22.2 over their last five games. Their overall EPA for is positive but significantly lower than their EPA against, suggesting they are not scoring as much as their opponents. Finally, the home team's overall record is strong (5-0), and the away team's is poor (0-5), indicating a potential mismatch in this game. All these factors combined make the under 46.5 a statistically reasonable bet.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro