Here are our EPL picks for Friday 23 October 2026. Our model likes 11 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace Draw No Bet, priced at +300 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Looking for the best Premier League picks for same-game parlays this weekend? Here are the 5 multis our model likes most for the upcoming round, built only from legs where our number beats the price.
As Tottenham Hotspur welcomes Crystal Palace this weekend, the stage is set for an intriguing clash. Spurs have struggled recently at home, managing just one win in their last five matches, while Palace comes in with a solid away record, collecting points in two of their last five. Although both teams share a similar scoring average, Palace’s defensive resilience—conceding just 2.2 goals per game on average—stands out against Spurs' inconsistent form. Crystal Palace’s recent head-to-head record against Tottenham is promising, going 3-0-2 in their last five encounters. With Spurs averaging a mere 1.2 goals at home and showing a concerning trend of underwhelming expected goals, betting on Palace in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy move. This selection capitalizes on the current momentum and Spurs’ vulnerabilities while providing a safety net against a draw.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Tottenham welcomes Crystal Palace, the recent form and head-to-head stats paint a compelling picture for backing Palace with a handicap of 1.5. Spurs have struggled at home, only managing a win in one of their last five fixtures, and their scoring average of just 1.2 goals per match at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium feels alarmingly low. With Palace’s away record showing a respectable scoring average of 1 goal per game, they’re not far behind in the attacking stakes. Moreover, Palace has performed well against Spurs lately, boasting an impressive 3-0-2 record in their last five encounters. Given that the Eagles have the momentum from their recent run and a solid defense, they’re well-positioned to cause an upset or at least a close contest, covering that 1.5 goal line comfortably. Expect a tight match, but Palace's resilience could very well shine through.
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Chelsea hosts Tottenham, the narrative shifts from fierce rivalry to a surprisingly disciplined approach. Both teams have shown a tendency for lower card counts recently. Chelsea's average of just 1.8 cards at home, coupled with their solid defensive record against Spurs—five wins in their last five meetings—hints at a focus on tactical control rather than aggression. Tottenham, on the other hand, has managed only 0.8 goals away and averages a mere 1.4 cards in their last outings, suggesting they might struggle to provoke Chelsea into reckless fouls. With Chelsea also averaging fewer than two goals conceded at home, it’s hard to see this match spiraling into a card-laden affair. Given these recent trends, betting on under 5.5 cards looks not only wise but well-grounded in the current form of both sides.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to host Tottenham, the stage is set for a high-octane London derby that should see goals aplenty. Chelsea's scoring form at home has been impressive, averaging 2.8 goals in their last five matches at Stamford Bridge. They've found the net with ease against Spurs too, winning their last five encounters with a cumulative score that underlines their dominance. Tottenham, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, netting just 0.8 goals in their last five away fixtures. However, their recent history against Chelsea, coupled with the attacking prowess of both sides, suggests that they could break through the Blues' defense. Given Chelsea's robust offensive stats, combined with a solid defensive record against Spurs, betting on over 1.5 goals feels like a wise move in what promises to be a thrilling clash. Expect fireworks!
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Chelsea -0.25 Goal Handicap (-200)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to host Tottenham, recent form suggests the Blues are set for a strong performance. Chelsea's home record against Spurs in their last five encounters is a remarkable 5-0-0, showcasing their dominance in this fierce rivalry. In their last five home games, Chelsea has averaged nearly three goals per match, while Tottenham has struggled offensively, netting just 0.8 goals away. Chelsea's expected goals (xG) at home indicate a solid attacking threat, and they’ve been creating around 13.8 shots per game, with over 5.6 on target. Contrast that with Spurs, who have faltered with only 10.4 shots away and a disappointing xG. Given the home advantage and recent trends, betting on Chelsea -0.25 seems like a savvy move to capitalize on their current momentum and Spurs' struggles.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United prepares to face Everton, the signs are increasingly favorable for the home side. Despite their recent struggles, their home performances have shown glimpses of potential. Averaging 1.8 goals at home, with a solid shot count of 12.8, they’ve managed to create decent chances, even if the finishing hasn’t always been clinical. Their opponents, Everton, are floundering, especially on the road with just one win in their last five away games and a meager scoring rate of 1 goal per match. The Toffees’ defense has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals away, which could play right into Newcastle’s hands.
Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Moneyline (+120)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle prepares to host Everton, the momentum seems to tilt in the Magpies' favor. Despite a mixed home record recently, they’ve shown a remarkable resilience at St. James’ Park, averaging nearly 1.8 goals at home while limiting opponents to 1.4. Their ability to generate chances, with over 12 shots per game at home, is a promising sign—especially when considering Everton's struggles on the road, where they’ve only managed one goal in their last five away matches. Newcastle’s previous encounters against Everton have been competitive, but the home advantage can’t be overlooked. Everton’s dismal away form, with four straight losses, adds further weight to Newcastle’s case. Given these trends and their pressing style, the Magpies are poised to secure a vital three points, making them a compelling pick for the win here.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Coventry City gears up to face Fulham, the stage is set for a clash that might not yield a goal-fest. Coventry's recent home form has seen them average just 1.2 goals per game over their last five, while Fulham has struggled away, managing a meager 0.4. Both teams bring a cautious approach, reflected in their xG stats, which show little promise for explosive attacking displays. Interestingly, Coventry has kept their last two encounters against Fulham scoreless, suggesting a tactical battle rather than an open affair. With the visitors averaging only 1.4 goals conceded on the road, it’s hard to see either side breaking the 3.5 total mark. Given the trends and underlying stats, betting on "Under 3.5" feels like a prudent move in this matchup, where defenses will likely reign supreme.
Coventry City vs Fulham: Coventry City +0.5 Goal Handicap (-161)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Coventry City prepares to face Fulham, the home side is looking strong, particularly at the Coventry Building Society Arena. With a recent home record of 3-0-2, they've been formidable, averaging 2.4 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Fulham’s away form is concerning, with just one win in their last five and a meager 0.4 goals scored per match on the road. Coventry has also dominated this matchup recently, winning both of their last two encounters against Fulham. Their expected goals statistics suggest they’re creating plenty of opportunities, while Fulham struggles to find the net, averaging only 0.4 goals away. Given these trends, betting on Coventry City to cover the -0.5 handicap feels like a savvy move, especially with their home advantage and Fulham's ongoing struggles. This clash has all the makings of a home victory.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Hull City hosts Ipswich Town, there’s a palpable sense of opportunity for the home side, especially considering their recent performances. Hull's home record shows a promising trend with two wins in their last five at the KC Stadium, scoring an average of one goal while conceding just 0.4. Their defense has tightened up, limiting opponents to minimal chances. Ipswich, on the other hand, has been inconsistent away, averaging 1.8 goals against while struggling to maintain a solid defense. Given Hull's recent form and the safety net of a "Draw No Bet" option, this wager feels like a calculated risk worth taking—especially in front of a home crowd eager for a win.
Hull City vs Ipswich Town: Hull City -1.5 Goal Handicap (+400)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Hull City prepares to host Ipswich Town, the home side’s recent form reveals a resilient but inconsistent trend. While Hull has struggled lately, their home performances tell a different story. In their last five matches at home, they’ve averaged a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game. Combined with an attacking average of 1 goal per match, it suggests they have the potential to capitalize against an Ipswich side that has been leaky on the road, allowing 2.6 goals per game. Ipswich, while slightly more successful overall, has faced Hull's tactical setup before and found it challenging, losing three of their last five encounters. Given Hull’s need to turn their fortunes around and the historical edge they hold, backing them to win by at least two goals seems like a savvy move. Expect Hull to leverage their home advantage and break through against Ipswich on Saturday.
That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.