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ATP tennis predictions for Wednesday, October 14: the model leans Tommy Paul

3 ATP tennis matches on Wednesday. The model's strongest pick is Tommy Paul -3, a LEAN-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar

Wed Oct 14, 4:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Botic van de Zandschulp +3 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)-110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Botic van de Zandschulp is playing at home against Rafael Jodar, and the match is expected to be very close.

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Wed Oct 14, 10:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Daniil Medvedev -3 (they must win by 4 or more games; win by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)+101

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Daniil Medvedev has been playing strong lately, showing great form in his recent matches.

Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs

Wed Oct 14, 11:10 AM UTC
Top pick: Tommy Paul -3 (they must win by 4 or more games; win by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)-105

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Tommy Paul needs to win by four games or more against Zizou Bergs tonight.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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