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ATP tennis predictions for Tuesday, October 13: the model leans Arthur Gea

4 ATP tennis matches on Tuesday. The model's strongest pick is Arthur Gea +2, a LEAN-confidence call.

By Isabella Rossi · Published Oct 12, 11:50 AM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Tue Oct 13, 4:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Alex de Minaur -1 (they must win by 2 or more games; win by exactly 1 games and your stake comes back)-112

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov both have solid skills, making this matchup quite balanced.

Full Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov preview →

Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Tue Oct 13, 5:10 AM UTC
Top pick: Arthur Gea +2 (they can lose by up to 1 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 2 games and your stake comes back)+109

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Arthur Gea faces Jakub Mensik in what looks like a very close match.

Full Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik preview →

Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik

Tue Oct 13, 10:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Alexander Zverev -3 (they must win by 4 or more games; win by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)+105

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

For this match, Alexander Zverev needs to win by four games or more against Alexander Bublik.

Full Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik preview →

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Tue Oct 13, 11:10 AM UTC
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at Hubert Hurkacz · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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