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ATP tennis predictions for Thursday, October 1: the model backs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

23 ATP tennis matches on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Tomas Martin Etcheverry +3, a HIGH-confidence call. 3 more matches have a HIGH-confidence pick.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Thursday, October 1. See today's ATP tennis predictions

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Matteo Berrettini +1 (they must not lose; lose by exactly 1 games and your stake comes back)+108

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Berrettini has strong skills that could help him compete well here.

Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Mariano Navone +4.5 (they can lose by up to 4 games and the bet still wins)+111

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Alex de Minaur faces Mariano Navone in a match that feels very balanced.

Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Jakub Mensik at Alexander Bublik · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Cameron Norrie at Alexander Zverev · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Francisco Cerundolo at Botic van de Zandschulp · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Ugo Humbert at Brandon Nakashima · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Alex Michelsen at Carlos Alcaraz · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Pablo Carreno Busta at Daniil Medvedev · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Sho Shimabukuro at Denis Shapovalov · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Kyrian Jacquet at Holger Rune · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Quentin Halys at Ignacio Buse · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Arthur Fery at Jaime Faria · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Frances Tiafoe at Kei Nishikori · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Hubert Hurkacz at Learner Tien · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fery

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Arthur Fery at Lorenzo Musetti · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Casper Ruud at Luciano Darderi · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Flavio Cobolli at Roman Safiullin · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Andrey Rublev at Tallon Griekspoor · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar

Thu Oct 1, 2:00 AM UTC
Jaume Munar at Taylor Fritz · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech

Thu Oct 1, 3:00 AM UTC
Arthur Rinderknech at Alex Molcan · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Thu Oct 1, 3:10 AM UTC
Top pick: Tomas Martin Etcheverry +3 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)+106

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has been playing really well lately, and he's facing Stefanos Tsitsipas, who can be tricky but has had some ups and downs.

Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez

Thu Oct 1, 5:40 AM UTC
Sebastian Baez at Juncheng Shang · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar

Thu Oct 1, 8:10 AM UTC
Rafael Jodar at Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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