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MLS predictions for Saturday, October 10: Under 3.5 goals in San Diego FC at New York Red Bulls

14 MLS matches on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, a HIGH-confidence call. 1 more match has a HIGH-confidence pick.

By Javier Morales · Published Oct 9, 11:07 AM ET · Updated Oct 10, 11:03 AM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Saturday, October 10. See today's MLS predictions

CF Montreal at Toronto FC

Sat Oct 10, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick: Toronto FC to win-110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Toronto FC prepares to face CF Montreal, recent form strongly favors the home side.

Full CF Montreal at Toronto FC preview →

New York City FC at Chicago Fire

Sat Oct 10, 2:30 PM ET
Our pick: New York City FC +0.5 (they must not lose)+100

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

When Chicago Fire hosts New York City FC, the narrative leans in favor of the visitors.

Full New York City FC at Chicago Fire preview →

FC Cincinnati at Atlanta United FC

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
FC Cincinnati at Atlanta United FC · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full FC Cincinnati at Atlanta United FC preview →

FC Dallas at Charlotte FC

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
FC Dallas at Charlotte FC · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full FC Dallas at Charlotte FC preview →

D.C. United at Inter Miami CF

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
D.C. United at Inter Miami CF · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full D.C. United at Inter Miami CF preview →

Seattle Sounders FC at New England Revolution

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
Seattle Sounders FC at New England Revolution · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Seattle Sounders FC at New England Revolution preview →

San Diego FC at New York Red Bulls

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
Top pick: Under 3.5 goals-105

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

When the New York Red Bulls face off against San Diego FC, the spotlight is on a clash that hints at a low-scoring affair.

Full San Diego FC at New York Red Bulls preview →

Columbus Crew SC at Orlando City SC

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
Columbus Crew SC at Orlando City SC · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Columbus Crew SC at Orlando City SC preview →

Real Salt Lake at Philadelphia Union

Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
Real Salt Lake at Philadelphia Union · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Real Salt Lake at Philadelphia Union preview →

Nashville SC at Austin FC

Sat Oct 10, 8:30 PM ET
Nashville SC at Austin FC · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Nashville SC at Austin FC preview →

Houston Dynamo at Minnesota United FC

Sat Oct 10, 8:30 PM ET
Houston Dynamo at Minnesota United FC · Total Goals Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Houston Dynamo at Minnesota United FC preview →

Portland Timbers at Sporting Kansas City

Sat Oct 10, 8:30 PM ET
Portland Timbers at Sporting Kansas City · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Portland Timbers at Sporting Kansas City preview →

San Jose Earthquakes at Colorado Rapids

Sat Oct 10, 9:30 PM ET
San Jose Earthquakes at Colorado Rapids · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full San Jose Earthquakes at Colorado Rapids preview →

Vancouver Whitecaps FC at Los Angeles FC

Sat Oct 10, 10:30 PM ET
Vancouver Whitecaps FC at Los Angeles FC · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Vancouver Whitecaps FC at Los Angeles FC preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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