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Model picks & player props
Nashville SC
VS
Toronto FC

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 9, 10:37PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Wed 9 Sep 2026, 11:30PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 3.5 Total Goals -185

The model graded 20 markets for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $154 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 9 Sep 2026, 11:30PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win68.8%
The price says63.3%
Best price-185
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 3.5 High69% chance -185
Both Teams to Score Lean45% chance
Total Goals Long-shot23% chance
Draw No Bet Lean59% chance
Spread High62% chance
Spread High88% chance
Spread High96% chance
Spread Lean52% chance
Moneyline Lean42% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Toronto FC are the model's favourite to beat Nashville SC, with a 53% chance to win. Kick-off Wed 9 Sep, 11:30PM. Best bet: Under 3.5 at -185.
How they've been scoring this season
Nashville SCToronto FC
Won-lost7-2-21-2-5
Goals scored per game1.81.3
Goals allowed per game0.91.4
On the road / at home0-2-2 away1-0-2 at home
Last 5 gamesDWWWDLDWDD
Their games average 2.7 total goals this season.
From the 11 Nashville SC and 8 Toronto FC games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 39 bookmakers compared
Winner
Nashville SC2.08+108Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw3.88+288BetOnline
Toronto FC3.78+278BetOnline
Total goals
Over2.51.78-128Matchbook
Under2.52.27+127Kalshi
Market cooling on Toronto FC: 3.05 → 3.28 (37 books)

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC odds by bookmaker

39 books · best price in green
BookNashville SC winToronto FC winToronto FC +0.5Over 2.5Under 2.5
BetAnySports1.95-1053.78+2781.88-1141.75-1332.13+113
BetOnline1.95-1053.78+2781.88-1141.75-1332.04+104
BetUS2.00+1003.60+2601.88-1141.74-1352.05+105
Bovada1.99-1013.50+2501.83-120
LowVig1.95-1053.78+2781.88-1141.75-1332.04+104
Matchbook2.08+1083.75+2751.89-1121.78-1282.22+122
MyBookie2.05+1053.42+2421.75-1331.71-1412.06+106
Bally Bet2.02+1023.40+2401.66-1522.17+117
BetMGM2.05+1053.40+2401.69-1452.00+100
betPARX2.02+1023.40+2401.66-1522.17+117
BetRivers2.02+1023.40+2401.66-1522.17+117
Casumo2.02+1023.40+2401.66-1522.17+117
Grosvenor1.97-1033.30+2301.64-1562.15+115
Kalshi2.04+1043.70+2701.75-1332.27+127

Since the market opened: Toronto FC to win opened 2.82, best now 3.78; the over 2.5 opened 1.66, best now 1.80 (decimal, best book).

Market cooling on Toronto FC: 3.05 → 3.28 (37 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCCorners HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Under on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Lowvig
on Toronto FC
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Nashville SC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Toronto FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Nashville SC @ Toronto FC — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Nashville SC at Toronto FC — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — recent results

Toronto FC have won 1 of their last 5 games; Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5.

Toronto FC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D4–4CHIHome
D1–1NYCHome
W2–1NEHome
D1–1NYCAway
L1–2DCAway
Nashville SC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D0–0NYCAway
W4–0CINHome
W3–2CLBHome
W4–1MIAHome
D2–2DCAway

Nashville SC @ Toronto FC — where the money went

Since betting opened on Nashville SC at Toronto FC, the market has moved toward Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 2.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Toronto FC▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Toronto FC 0▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Nashville SC -0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Nashville SC 0▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Nashville SC▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Wednesday 9 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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