Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Nate Landwehr takes on Mandel Nallo in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Nate Landwehr to Win, priced at +236 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nate Landwehr to Win (+236)

Nate Landwehr has been showing some solid skills lately, making him an interesting pick for this fight against Mandel Nallo. Even though he's the underdog, his fighting style could really play to his strengths here. Landwehr needs to push the pace and use his experience to outlast Nallo, who is known for being a strong striker. One thing to keep in mind is that Nallo has a slight reach advantage, which could make it tricky for Landwehr if he can't close the distance. Still, at odds of +195, Landwehr has a real shot to win this fight. With his determination and skills, he might just surprise us all. It was priced at +236 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $33.60 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Mandel Nallo: last five L-W, lost the last fight, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 177 days since the last fight
• Nate Landwehr: last five L-L-L-W-L, dropped the last 3, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 184 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Nate Landwehr v Mandel Nallo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.