Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Picks, October 26, 2026

Chet Holmgren has been playing well, but he faces a tough matchup against the Phoenix Suns. The Thunder give up a lot of rebounds, averaging nearly 46 per game, which is higher than most teams. This means Holmgren might have a harder time getting boards than usual. With Holmgren's current form, betting on him to grab under 8.5 rebounds seems smart. The Suns will likely focus on their shooting, and with Holmgren competing against strong rebounders on their side, he could find it challenging to rack up those numbers. Just remember, the risk is that he could have a standout game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns: Chet Holmgren Under 15.5 Points (-106)

Chet Holmgren is a rookie for the Thunder, but he's facing a tough challenge against the Suns. The Thunder have been known to let opponents take a lot of three-point shots and grab plenty of rebounds, which could limit Holmgren's chances to score. Since 2018, they allow over 36 three-point attempts and give up nearly 46 rebounds per game, making it tricky for him to find good opportunities. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance Holmgren will score under 15.5 points in this game. The Suns are a solid defensive team, so he might struggle to get going. The biggest risk here is that Holmgren is still adjusting to the pace of the NBA, and games can be tough for rookies like him.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns: Ajay Mitchell Under 3.5 Rebounds (-114)

Ajay Mitchell has been showing some solid recent form, but he might struggle for rebounds against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder allow a lot of rebounds, giving up nearly 46 a game, which can make it tough for any player to get their numbers. However, they also force turnovers well, which could limit the chances for Mitchell to grab boards. Betting on Mitchell to get under 3.5 rebounds seems like a smart choice given the matchup. The Thunder's style of play means they might not give him many opportunities to collect rebounds. The biggest risk here is that Mitchell could still have a few chances if the game gets chaotic, but overall, the numbers suggest this is a solid bet.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.