Here are the 6 NRL player props our model likes most for September 25, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Friday 25 September 2026,
Dolphins host
Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Thomas Flegler Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Thomas Flegler scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026,
Penrith Panthers host
Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Lachlan Crouch Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lachlan Crouch scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Angus Crichton Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Angus Crichton scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +6000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $610 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Ray Stone Last Try Scorer. This wins if Ray Stone scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +7000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $710 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Liam Henry Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Liam Henry scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +6600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $670 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Billy Smith Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Billy Smith scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +9000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $910 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.