Here are the 5 NRL player props our model likes most for September 26, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Sunday 27 September 2026,
Penrith Panthers host
Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Lachlan Crouch Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lachlan Crouch scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Liam Henry Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Liam Henry scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +6600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $670 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Harrison Graham Last Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Dylan Lucas Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Dylan Lucas scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Lachlan Crouch First Try Scorer. This wins if Lachlan Crouch scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +30000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $3010 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.