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Model picks & player props
New York Islanders
VS
Vancouver Canucks

New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Indoor
Tue 20 Jan 2026, 3:00AM
3
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Islanders (Moneyline)
For New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks (NHL), model win probability 68.3%, fair odds 1.46, book price -147, model edge +8.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Tue 20 Jan 2026, 3:00AM at Rogers Arena.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New York Islanders
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York IslandersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vancouver CanucksPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Vancouver CanucksPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Islanders

  • Mathew Barzal COut
  • Semyon Varlamov GOut
  • Kyle Palmieri COut
  • Ryan Pulock DOut
  • Alexander Romanov DOut

Vancouver Canucks

  • Evander Kane LWOut
  • Derek Forbort DOut
Availability updated May 12, 8:04PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Ilya Sorokin New York Islanders Saves 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans New York IslandersNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Vancouver Canucks moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineVancouver Canucks +1.5No line posted

New York Islanders @ Vancouver Canucks puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Vancouver Canucks total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

New York Islanders @ Vancouver Canucks — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Vancouver Canucks vs New York Islanders hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Ilya Sorokin. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Vancouver Canucks vs New York Islanders stats and odds.</p>

Vancouver Canucks vs New York Islanders : New York Islanders win (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the New York Islanders is justified by several key factors. First, the Islanders have a superior recent record, with 3 wins in their last 5 games compared to the Canucks' 1 win. This indicates a stronger current performance. Furthermore, the Canucks have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 4.6 goals against them in their last 5 games, compared to the Islanders' more solid 2.6 goals against. The Canucks also have a significantly lower goals average (0.4) compared to the Islanders (0.6). These statistics suggest the Islanders have a more robust defense and a more effective attack. Despite the Islanders having a 2-3 head-to-head record against the Canucks, their current form and defensive solidity make them a statistically sound choice for this bet.

Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) Over 24.5 Saves (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ilya Sorokin for over 24.5 saves is rooted in his recent performance data and model prediction. Sorokin's L5 away games average for saves stands at 27, which is considerably higher than the betting line of 24.5. This trend indicates that he typically makes a significant number of saves when playing away. Furthermore, Sorokin's overall L5 saves average is an impressive 31.2, further emphasizing his consistent performance. Notably, the model's prediction for Sorokin's saves in this match is 27.02, again surpassing the betting line. Additionally, Sorokin's hit rate in his last 10 away games is strong, achieving over the set line in 7 out of 10 games. In his overall last 11 games, the hit rate is even better, exceeding the line in 9 out of 11 games. This data suggests a high likelihood that Sorokin will surpass the 24.5 saves line in the

Vancouver Canucks vs New York Islanders : Vancouver Canucks +1.5 (-217)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Vancouver Canucks 1.5 in the 'Puck Line' is primarily driven by the team's recent performance and home game advantage. Despite their overall L5 record (1-4), the Canucks have shown a stronger performance at home with a 2-3 record. Importantly, their head-to-head record against the Islanders is positive (3-2). Statistically, the Canucks have a higher goals average (1.2) in their last five home games compared to the Islanders' away games average (0.6). This suggests the Canucks could leverage their home advantage to outscore the Islanders. Furthermore, the model prediction is close to zero (-0.05), indicating a potentially tight game. The Canucks' average of 1.8 assists in their last five home games, compared to the Islanders' 0.8 in their respective away games, further strengthens the rationale for this bet. Overall, these factors suggest that the Canucks could cover the 1.5

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Tuesday 20 January 2026 at Rogers Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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