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Model picks & player props
Dallas Stars
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 10:09PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Mon 13 Apr 2026, 11:30PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread -179

The model graded 2 markets for Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $156 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 13 Apr 2026, 11:30PM at Scotiabank Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win77.3%
The price says64.1%
Best price-179
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High77% chance -179
Moneyline High70% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
Availability updated Jul 1, 10:34PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Dallas StarsNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Dallas Stars @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Dallas Stars @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 0 of their last 5 games; Dallas Stars have won 2 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3OTTAway
L5–6DALHome
L2–6FLAHome
L3–5NYIAway
L0–4WSHHome
Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–5MINAway
L2–4MINHome
L2–3MINAway
W4–3MINAway
W4–2MINHome

Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, Dallas Stars won 1.

DateToronto Maple LeafsDallas StarsWinner
Apr 1356Dallas Stars

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT
Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Arttu Hyry RWOUT
Roope Hintz COUT
Tyler Seguin COUT
Nils Lundkvist DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Stars vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Stars. The most recent game between them was Monday 13 April 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Dallas Stars 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Apr 2026Dallas Stars @ Toronto Maple Leafs5–6Dallas Stars
Today's selected board

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