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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Flyers
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 3:53PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Sun 19 Apr 2026, 12:00AM
10
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Philadelphia Flyers (Moneyline)
The model graded 10 markets for Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $218 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 58.0%, fair odds 1.72, book price +118, model edge +12.1%. Tip-off Sun 19 Apr 2026, 12:00AM at PPG Paints Arena.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Philadelphia Flyers
+118
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia FlyersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia FlyersPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia FlyersPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Noah Cates LWOut
  • Owen Tippett RWOut

Pittsburgh Penguins

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated May 12, 4:16PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Noah Cates and Owen Tippett.
FactorThis fixture
Availability2 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePhiladelphia Flyers +1.5No line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins — 10 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 9 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

2 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Flyers
PlayerStatus
Noah Cates LWOUT
Owen Tippett RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins — model preview

Deep dive into Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Stuart Skinner. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers stats and odds.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers : Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Philadelphia Flyers 1.5 is influenced by recent comparative team performance and model insights. The Flyers have a strong recent away record (4-1) compared to the Penguins' home record (1-4), suggesting they perform better in away games. Additionally, the Flyers have a higher average of goals scored (1.2 vs 0.6) and a higher EVpoints average (2.4 vs 1.6) in their last five away games relative to the Penguins' home games. The model prediction is also very close to zero (-0.04), indicating a tight game, which further solidifies the decision to bet on Philadelphia Flyers 1.5 as they only need to not lose by more than one goal. Given these stats and records, the bet appears to be a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Apr 26 Spread Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Flyers vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Flyers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 April 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 10 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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