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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
New Jersey Devils

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:41PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Prudential Center, New Jersey
Indoor
Fri 12 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Tampa Bay Lightning (Moneyline)
The model graded 3 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $173 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 74.6%, fair odds 1.34, book price -137, model edge +16.8%. Tip-off Fri 12 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Prudential Center.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
-137
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

New Jersey Devils

  • Arseny Gritsyuk RWOut
  • Evan Rodrigues COut
  • Jonas Siegenthaler DOut
  • Luke Hughes DOut
Availability updated Jun 30, 7:07PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Nico Hischier New Jersey Devils Anytime Goal Scorer 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning -1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils — 2 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New Jersey Devils
PlayerStatus
Arseny Gritsyuk RWOUT
Evan Rodrigues COUT
Jonas Siegenthaler DOUT
Luke Hughes DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils — model preview

Winning bets for New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Nico Hischier. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Nico Hischier (New Jersey Devils) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+160)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data supports a bet on Nico Hischier as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' for several reasons. Firstly, Hischier's average goals in the last five home games stand at 0.6, which aligns with the model's prediction of 0.45, suggesting a probable scoring outcome. His performance also shows consistency with an average of 0.6 goals in his last five overall games. Hischier's shot average, both at home and overall, is over 3, indicating he has regular opportunities to score. Hischier has a strong hit rate, scoring in 3 out of his last 4 home games and 5 out of his last 7 games overall. Although his current home game hit streak is 0, his recent performance implies a high scoring potential. His average game-winning goals is 0.2, suggesting that he tends to score crucial goals, which further strengthens the likelihood of him scoring in the upcoming game.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Devils, or as Devils vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Friday 12 December 2025 at Prudential Center. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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