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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
New Jersey Devils

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:09PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Prudential Center, New Jersey
Indoor
Fri 12 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
2
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Tampa Bay Lightning (Moneyline)
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils (NHL), model win probability 74.6%, fair odds 1.34, book price -137, model edge +16.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 12 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Prudential Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

New Jersey Devils

  • Arseny Gritsyuk RWOut
  • Evan Rodrigues COut
  • Jonas Siegenthaler DOut
  • Brett Pesce DOut
  • Luke Hughes DOut
Availability updated Jun 30, 7:07PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Nico Hischier New Jersey Devils Anytime Goal Scorer 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning -1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils — model preview

<p>Winning bets for New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Nico Hischier. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.</p>

Nico Hischier (New Jersey Devils) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+160)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data supports a bet on Nico Hischier as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' for several reasons. Firstly, Hischier's average goals in the last five home games stand at 0.6, which aligns with the model's prediction of 0.45, suggesting a probable scoring outcome. His performance also shows consistency with an average of 0.6 goals in his last five overall games. Hischier's shot average, both at home and overall, is over 3, indicating he has regular opportunities to score. Hischier has a strong hit rate, scoring in 3 out of his last 4 home games and 5 out of his last 7 games overall. Although his current home game hit streak is 0, his recent performance implies a high scoring potential. His average game-winning goals is 0.2, suggesting that he tends to score crucial goals, which further strengthens the likelihood of him scoring in the upcoming game.

Jacob Markstrom (New Jersey Devils) Over 22.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jacob Markstrom for Over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is rationalized by his recent performances. In his last five home games, Markstrom has averaged 25.4 saves per game, which is already higher than the over/under line of 22.5. This average is also supported by his overall recent performance, where he has averaged 26 saves per game in his last five games. Furthermore, the model predicts Markstrom will make approximately 24.86 saves in the upcoming game, again exceeding the betting line. Despite a current home games hit streak of 0, Markstrom's hit rate in the last three home games is 2 out of 3, and his overall hit rate in the last four games is 3 out of 4. These statistics suggest that Markstrom is likely to have over 22.5 saves in the upcoming match against Tampa Bay Lightning.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 12 December 2025 at Prudential Center. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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