Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Picks & Predictions

Filip Gustavsson (Minnesota Wild) Over 23.5 Saves (-120)

Filip Gustavsson's recent performances suggest a strong potential for surpassing the proposed total saves line. Over his last 5 home games, Gustavsson has averaged 25.6 saves per match, surpassing the proposed line of 23.5. This trend extends to his overall performance, with an average of 26.8 saves across his last 5 games. Additionally, the goalie has consistently faced a high number of shots, with an average of 27.6 shots against in home games and 28.6 overall. The hit rate also supports this projection, with Gustavsson surpassing the total saves line in 4 out of his last 6 home games. The model prediction of 25.65 saves further cements the case for betting over 23.5 saves, as it is comfortably above the proposed line. Therefore, Gustavsson's recent form and the predictive model both suggest a high probability of this bet being successful.

Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars : Minnesota Wild +1.5 (-227)

The bet on Minnesota Wild +1.5 makes sense when considering the team's recent performance at home. Despite having a slightly inferior record against the Dallas Stars (2-3), Minnesota Wild has held strong at home, boasting a 3-2 record in their last 5 home games and an overall 4-1 record. Their average goals against at home have also been relatively low at 1.8. Additionally, the Wild have a higher average of assists, evpoints, and overall points compared to their overall averages, indicating their offensive performance improves at home. Although the Stars have a strong away record (4-1), their average goals against is slightly higher than the Wild's at 2.2. The combination of the Wild's stronger home performance and the Stars' slightly weaker defensive record away supports the bet on Minnesota Wild +1.5.