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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Carolina Hurricanes

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 10:30PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Lenovo Center, Carolina
Indoor
Fri 27 Feb 2026, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline -105

The model graded 2 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 27 Feb 2026, 12:00AM at Lenovo Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.9%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning High70% chance -105
Spread High71% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
-105
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

Carolina Hurricanes

  • Eric Robinson LWOut
  • Seth Jarvis COut
Availability updated Jun 27, 3:25AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Pontus Holmberg, Eric Robinson and Seth Jarvis.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning -1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes — recent results

Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5.

Carolina Hurricanes — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–0VGKAway
W4–2VGKHome
W5–3VGKAway
L4–5VGKAway
W4–3VGKHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Carolina Hurricanes won 2, Tampa Bay Lightning won 0.

DateCarolina HurricanesTampa Bay LightningWinner
Mar 1442Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 2754Carolina Hurricanes

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Carolina Hurricanes
PlayerStatus
Eric Robinson LWOUT
Seth Jarvis COUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Hurricanes, or as Hurricanes vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Friday 27 February 2026 at Lenovo Center. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Carolina Hurricanes 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Mar 2026Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning2–4Carolina Hurricanes
27 Feb 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes5–4Carolina Hurricanes
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