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NFL predictions for Thursday, September 24: the model backs Falcons

1 NFL game on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Falcons +6, a HIGH-confidence call.

By Marcus Cole · Published Sep 23, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Sep 24, 1:03 PM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Thursday, September 24. See today's NFL predictions

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET
Top pick: Falcons +6 (they can lose by up to 5 and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 6 and your stake comes back)-108

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Atlanta Falcons have been holding their own lately, even with a tough season behind them.

Full Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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